区域高分辨率数值预报检验评估系统
Verification and Evaluation System of Regional High Resolution Numerical Weather Prediction
中文摘要：
近年来我国区域高分辨率数值预报业务发展迅速，目前传统检验方法已不能满足高分辨率模式降水检验评估需求。区域高分辨率数值预报检验评估系统在吸收降水传统检验方法优势的同时，融入基于降水发展演变过程的检验评估方法，旨在建立一套适用于高时空分辨率观测资料的精细化降水检验评估系统，为促进区域模式改进和高分辨率数值预报产品的偏差理解提供了重要参考，也为理解区域数值预报的模拟能力及其偏差提供了新的视角。
中文关键词：
数值天气预报，高分辨率模式，检验，评估
KeyWords：
numerical weather prediction, high resolution model, verification, evaluation
Abstract：
In recent years, regional high resolution numerical weather prediction has developed rapidly. On the contrary, the traditional verification methods can’t meet the needs for the verification and evaluation of precipitation forecast by highresolution models. The verification and evaluation system of regional high resolution numerical weather prediction takes advantages of traditional verification means while incorporating the verification and evaluation methods based on the precipitation development and evolution process, aiming to establish a refined precipitation verification and evaluation system suitable for high spatiotemporal resolution observation data. It not only provides an important reference for promoting the improvement of regional model and the understanding of deviation of high resolution numerical weather prediction products, but also provides a new perspective for understanding the simulation ability and deviation of regional numerical weather prediction.