荆州夏季人体舒适度模型改进与应用评估

Improvement and Application Evaluation of Human Comfort Model in Jingzhou in Summer

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作者:

  • 贺程程 荆州市气象局 荆州 434020
  • 邓艳君 荆州市气象局 荆州 434020
  • 陈正洪 湖北省气象服务中心 武汉 430074

中文摘要:

利用荆州6个国家气象站1989—2018年的夏季逐日平均气温、相对湿度、风速等气象要素,采用与经典人体舒适度模式计算及评判结果对比分析的方法,建立荆州夏季人体舒适度模型,确定人体舒适度评判标准,并用湖北近 30 a气象资料对各区域人体舒适度进行适用性分析。结果表明:荆州6市(县)一年中各有3个月的舒适期,松滋还有2个月的较舒适期,松滋气候条件最佳;湖北各区域30 a平均人体舒适度指数月分布均呈“W”型;鄂西南是湖北避暑胜地,松滋是荆州避暑胜地。

中文关键词:

对比分析,人体舒适度,指数预报,改进模型

KeyWords:

comparative analysis, human comfort, index forecast, improved model

Abstract:

In order to accurately evaluate the difference of human comfort in six counties of Jingzhou, based on the daily average temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed observation data from meteorological stations in Jingzhou from 1989 to 2018, using the method of comparing and analyzing the calculation and evaluation results with the classic human comfort model, the prediction model and evaluation criteria of human comfort are established in summer in Jingzhou. The applicability of human comfort in each region was analyzed by using the meteorological data of Hubei Province in recent 30 years. The results show that: There are three months of comfort period in a year in six counties of Jingzhou, and there are two more comfortable months in Songzi. Songzi has the best climate conditions in Jingzhou. The monthly distribution of the human comfort index is in a “W” shape in each region of Hubei Province in the past 30 years.
 

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