人工影响天气作业人员安全风险评价
Operator’s Safety Risk Assessment in Weather Modification Implementation
中文摘要：
人的心理状态与不安全行为密切关联，是安全管理中的重要因素。运用心理状态分析法，构建由生活事件、社会支持、应对方式三方面要素组成的人员安全风险评价模型。设定人工影响天气作业人员的40项生活变化值，根据社会支持、应对方式得分高低分别赋予贡献系数，建立作业人员风险评价的定量化计算方法。对335名人工影响天气火箭、高炮作业人员的调查结果表明，样本人群的社会支持总分为45.94±7.94，积极应对维度得分为2.00±0.49，消极应对维度得分为1.26±0.54。不同年龄段的作业人群之间存在明显差别，与低龄组和高龄组相比，中龄组更善于运用社会支持资源和积极应对生活挑战。此方法可以提供人工影响天气作业人员风险分级评价结果，为有效预防作业过程中的人因安全事件提供判别依据。
中文关键词：
人工影响天气，人员安全风险，心理状态分析
KeyWords：
weather modification, operator’s safety risk, psychological status analysis
Abstract：
Human's psychological status, which closely related to unsafe behavior, is an important factor in safety management. By analysis of psychological status of weather modification (WM) operators, a safety risk assessment model is constructed by using three elements of life events, social support and coping style. Setting 40 life changing units for WM operators, the contribution coefficients of social support and coping style were set up respectively according to their values. Then the quantitative calculation formula was deduced. Investigation results of 335 artillery and rocket operators for WM show that the total social support score is 45.94 ± 7.94, the active respond dimensions score is 2.0 ± 0.49, and the negative is 1.26 ± 0.54. Significant differences exist among operator groups in different ages: comparing to the younger and the elderly groups, the middle age group is more adept at using social support resources and actively respond to the challenges of life. The operator’s safety risk assessment results in WM implementation may be regarded as determining criterion for effective prevention of security incidents in field operations induced by human factors.