月平均大气环流与短期气候预测
Monthly-Mean Atmospheric Circulation and Climate Prediction
中文摘要：
回顾了长期天气预报发展的历史，指出对月、季尺度而言，长期“天气”预报是不可能的，其预测的目标只能是“气候”。月平均大气环流是气候预测的主要工具，应用月平均环流给气候预测打开了一扇大门。
中文关键词：
长期天气预报，气候预测，月平均大气环流
KeyWords：
long-range weather forecasting, climatic prediction, monthly-mean atmospheric circulation
Abstract：
History of studies on long-range weather forecasting is reviewed, indicating that long-range “weather” forecasting is impossible. “Climate” is the unique target in monthly to seasonal predictions. Constructions of monthly-mean atmospheric circulation open a door on climatic prediction, and provide an important means in practice of prediction.